575
FXUS61 KBTV 011126
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
726 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 315 AM EDT Monday...
No significant changes.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 315 AM EDT Monday...
1. Mostly dry and quiet week.
2. Warmer and drier period of weather is expected from Thursday
through Sunday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
As of 315 AM EDT Monday...
KEY MESSAGE 1: For the past several days, large scale troughing
has been in place and large-scale ridging has been stationed
out west. That will flip this week as the troughing moves out to
the east and the ridging builds in. This will lead to an almost
completely dry week and a warming trend. The only real shower
chance is today and at most an isolated sprinkle or two would
fall. Ideal radiational cooling will occur the next few nights
so patchy frost will be possible in the coldest hollows of the
Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom, but temperatures should stay
above 40 for most places. Highs will be in the 60s for most
places today and rise into the 80s for most places by the end of
the week, but dew points will stay low.
KEY MESSAGE 2: An upper level ridge will build into the area
from Wednesday night into early Friday. Maximum temperatures on
Thursday and Friday will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s. A weak
surface trough will cross the area Friday bringing chance for
rain showers. Saturday and Sunday will remain pretty warm with
temperatures just a few degrees cooler than Thursday and Friday.
A better chance for showers will arrive Saturday night into
Sunday with both a surface front and some decent upper level
shortwave energy. This far out, there is plenty of time for
things to shift a bit.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 12Z Tuesday...Low ceilings remain at all sites except
BTV at 1125z. Conditions will improve to VFR by about 13z. There
is also still a visibility reduction at MPV with some BR
lingering. Ceilings and fog should all lift as mixing picks up.
Winds are light and variable, and will become north or northeast
at 5 to 10 knots today, then light again overnight. Skies will
trend FEW or SCT with perhaps a few cumulus clouds in the
afternoon.
Outlook...
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
WHAT HAS CHANGED...Myskowski
DISCUSSION...Neiles/Myskowski
AVIATION...Neiles
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