080
FXUS61 KBTV 021045
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
645 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 239 AM EDT Tuesday...
No significant changes to the forecast.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 239 AM EDT Tuesday...
1. Drier weather is expected for much of this week, along with
a warming trend.
2. Warm and possibly showery conditions possible for the
weekend, with a return to dry weather into next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
As of 239 AM EDT Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGE 1: High pressure will settle across the region
today, leading to a stint of drier weather for a good part of
the week. Temperatures will exhibit a gradual warming trend;
while today`s highs will be in the mid 60s to mid 70s with a bit
of a north breeze, Thursday will feature highs in the upper 70s
to upper 80s with west to southwest winds. Can`t totally rule
out a few spots hit 90F on Thursday, particularly on the eastern
slopes of the Adirondacks due to downsloping of the SW winds.
Luckily dewpoints will remain comfortable in the 40s and 50s, so
nights will be pleasantly cool and the afternoons won`t be
oppressively humid.
KEY MESSAGE 2: Upper level ridging is expected to slowly break
down and become shunted southward heading into the weekend.
Chances for showers return by late Friday into the weekend as
several weak disturbances attempt to dig into the ridge from the
north. The timing and uncertainty of how much the ridge breaks
down between the global models remains fairly large. An upper
trough looks to ride along the northern periphery of the ridge
across our region heading into the weekend, with an area of
cyclonic flow over the Great Lakes Sunday. Trends have favored a
southward jog of the Great Lakes energy which would lead us to
have fewer shower chances, though it is too early to tell this
far out. Should any showers coincide with day time heating, a
few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out, though confidence in
any thunder this far out remain low at this time. Regardless of
the precipitation chances, temperatures this weekend will cool
to more seasonable levels with highs in the mid to upper 70s to
near 80, with comfortable humidity levels as dewpoints look to
be in the upper 40s to low 50s. Into early next week, large
scale ridging looks to build in from the northwest with
ensembles favoring a return to dry and warm conditions.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 12Z Wednesday...Any lingering morning fog and mist
should quickly dissipate within the next hour due to increasing
mixing and winds beyond sunrise. North to northwest winds will
increase towards this afternoon at 5-10 knots with gusts 16 to
20 knots through 22-23Z. Winds will subside after sunset today
and trend calm. Dry conditions will persist throughout today
with some fair weather cumulus and mid to high cirrus around
6000 to 9000 ft agl. Calm VFR conditions are expected through
tonight. Chances for fog tonight at any terminals will be low
due to detachment from recent rains and with drier air in place.
Outlook...
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.
Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
WHAT HAS CHANGED...Neiles
DISCUSSION...Danzig/Neiles
AVIATION...Danzig
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