000

ABNT20 KNHC 161118

TWOAT 



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Tue Oct 16 2018



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



A well-defined low pressure system located near the northwestern

coast of Honduras continues to produce a large area of cloudiness

and thunderstorms over portions of the far western Caribbean Sea and

much of Central America. Although this system could still become a

tropical depression before it moves inland over southern Belize by

early afternoon, any further development is unlikely due to land

interaction. Once the low moves inland, rapid weakening is expected.

Regardless of development, strong gusty winds are possible over

portions of Belize and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula today before

diminishing by this evening. In addition, locally heavy rainfall,

which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of

Central America during the next few days.  The Air Force Reserve

Hurricane Hunter aircraft mission that was scheduled for this

afternoon has been canceled due the disturbance's proximity to land.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.



$$

Forecaster Stewart

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No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 16 Oct 2018 11:51:41 GMT