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67.4°F |
| Current conditions from King Hill Updated every 5 minutes |
| Wednesday June 17, 2026 | ||||||
SPC Tornado Watch 342WW 342 TORNADO IL MO 171915Z - 180300Z
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 341WW 341 SEVERE TSTM IA MN WI 171820Z - 180100Z
SPC Tornado Watch 342 Status ReportsWW 0342 Status Updates
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 341 Status ReportsWW 0341 Status Updates
SPC Tornado Watch 340 Status ReportsWW 0340 Status Updates
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 339 Status ReportsWW 0339 Status Updates
SPC MD 1166MD 1166 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO
Mesoscale Discussion 1166
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0216 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
Areas affected...portions of southeastern Arizona and southwestern
New Mexico
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 171916Z - 172115Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is expected this
afternoon, with an associated risk for isolated damaging/severe wind
gusts. Watch issuance is not anticipated.
DISCUSSION...Latest surface observations indicate temperatures have
warmed into the mid/upper 90s F with dewpoints ranging from the
mid-40s to low-50s across portions of the Southwest (as of 19 UTC).
Modifying the 18z EPZ observed sounding for these conditions, a
deep, increasingly well-mixed boundary layer extending to near 500
mb is evident, with low- and mid-level lapse rates exceeding 9-9.5
C/km and LCLs of 3.5+ km. As continued insolation results in
convective temperatures being breached, scattered, high-based
thunderstorms development will occur over the next 1-3 hours. While
weak mid-level flow and effective shear will limit storm
organization, inverted-v thermodynamic profiles will support
efficient evaporative cooling and a risk for isolated
damaging/severe wind gusts through this evening. Watch issuance is
not expected at this time owing to the isolated nature of the severe
threat.
..Chalmers/Hart.. 06/17/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...PSR...
LAT...LON 31270807 31230915 31261080 31481100 32181132 32501139
33121133 33361124 33531102 33551039 33430960 33290899
33120851 32850816 32520788 32000769 31810767 31680779
31690808 31270807
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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afternoon, with an associated risk for isolated damaging/severe wind
gusts. Watch issuance is not anticipated.
DISCUSSION...Latest surface observations indicate temperatures have
warmed into the mid/upper 90s F with dewpoints ranging from the
mid-40s to low-50s across portions of the Southwest (as of 19 UTC).
Modifying the 18z EPZ observed sounding for these conditions, a
deep, increasingly well-mixed boundary layer extending to near 500
mb is evident, with low- and mid-level lapse rates exceeding 9-9.5
C/km and LCLs of 3.5+ km. As continued insolation results in
convective temperatures being breached, scattered, high-based
thunderstorms development will occur over the next 1-3 hours. While
weak mid-level flow and effective shear will limit storm
organization, inverted-v thermodynamic profiles will support
efficient evaporative cooling and a risk for isolated
damaging/severe wind gusts through this evening. Watch issuance is
not expected at this time owing to the isolated nature of the severe
threat.
..Chalmers/Hart.. 06/17/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...PSR...
LAT...LON 31270807 31230915 31261080 31481100 32181132 32501139
33121133 33361124 33531102 33551039 33430960 33290899
33120851 32850816 32520788 32000769 31810767 31680779
31690808 31270807
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
</pre>
<a href="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1166.html">Read more</a>
]]>
</description>
<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2026 19:33:02 +0000</pubDate>
<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1166.html/20260617</guid>
</item>
<item>
<link>https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1165.html</link>
<title>SPC MD 1165</title>
<description>MD 1165 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL MISSOURI...WESTERN ILLINOIS
<![CDATA[<br /><a href="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1165.html"><img src="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd1165.png" border="1" alt="MD 1165 Image" hspace="1" vspace="1" width="815" height="611" align="center" /></a><pre>
Mesoscale Discussion 1165
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
Areas affected...portions of northern/central Missouri...western
Illinois
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 171803Z - 172000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development likely by the afternoon with
potential for all hazards including damaging wind, large hail, and
strong tornadoes.
DISCUSSION...Morning convection has moved into central/eastern
Illinois, with trailing outflow and a zone of differential heating
extending across northern Missouri into south-central Illinois. This
zone will be the focus of redevelopment of thunderstorm activity
this afternoon. Strong daytime heating is ongoing across
central/northern Missouri into far western Illinois in the cloud
free zone south of the outflow. SPC Mesoanalysis indicates that
MLCIN is eroding in this region, with temperatures climbing into the
mid 80s F. This is further confirmed by visible satellite trends
with the cumulus near the vicinity of the outflow also becoming
increasingly agitated.
Strong deep layer shear around 50-55 kts is analyzed across this
region, with STP around 2-3 across northern Missouri into far
western Illinois. This in combination with strong to moderate
instability edging northward will likely support initial supercells
capable of large hail, damaging wind, and tornadoes (perhaps
strong). A 40-50 kt low level jet axis extends from the
southern/central Plains into Missouri/western Illinois. This is
progged to shift north and eastward through the afternoon, which may
shift the higher STP and more favorable tornado potential into
portions of western/central Illinois.
One or more watches will likely be needed to cover this potential
this afternoon.
..Thornton/Hart.. 06/17/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN... | ||||||