RSS Mesoscale Discussions from Storm Prediction Center
WW 460 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 042135Z - 050500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 460
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Kansas
Northern and Central Oklahoma
* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 435 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 85
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Robust thunderstorm development is underway across
southern Kansas into northern Oklahoma. Supercells will pose a
threat for large to very large hail up to 1.5-2.5 inches in
diameter. One or more intense bowing clusters will likely develop
this evening and move southeastward across northern/central/eastern
Oklahoma while posing a threat for scattered to numerous
severe/damaging winds. Isolated significant wind gusts up to 75-85
mph will be possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles northwest of
Clinton OK to 55 miles east northeast of Tulsa OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 454...WW 455...WW
456...WW 457...WW 458...WW 459...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 75 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Gleason
Read more
WW 0462 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 462
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N JFK TO
25 ESE BDR TO 5 ESE EWB.
..MOORE..07/05/26
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 462
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC059-103-050240-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NASSAU SUFFOLK
ANZ235-256-332-340-345-350-353-355-050240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
RHODE ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY
Read more
WW 0461 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE SNY
TO 20 NNE BBW TO 25 SE ONL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1506
..THOMPSON..07/05/26
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GID...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC029-041-047-063-071-077-085-101-111-113-117-135-163-175-183-
050140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHASE CUSTER DAWSON
FRONTIER GARFIELD GREELEY
HAYES KEITH LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON PERKINS
SHERMAN VALLEY WHEELER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
WW 0460 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 460
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW LTS
TO 15 SSW END TO 5 W TUL TO 25 W JLN.
..THOMPSON..07/05/26
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TSA...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 460
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC001-009-011-015-017-021-027-029-031-035-037-041-049-051-055-
063-073-075-081-083-087-091-097-099-101-107-109-111-115-119-123-
125-131-133-135-137-143-145-149-050240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN CHEROKEE
CLEVELAND COAL COMANCHE
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HUGHES KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
MCINTOSH MAYES MURRAY
MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA
OKMULGEE OTTAWA PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS
SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH STEPHENS
TULSA WAGONER WASHITA
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
Read more
WW 0459 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 459
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW SBY TO
10 S ILG TO 20 ENE ABE TO 25 WSW BDR.
..MOORE..07/05/26
ATTN...WFO...PHI...OKX...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 459
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-005-050240-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT SUSSEX
NJC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
033-035-039-050240-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BERGEN BURLINGTON
CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND
ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON
HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX
MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN
SALEM SOMERSET UNION
NYC005-047-061-081-085-050240-
NY
Read more
WW 0458 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 458
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW CSM
TO 30 ESE AMA TO 40 NW PVW TO 45 SSE CVS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1504
..THOMPSON..07/04/26
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 458
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-065-069-117-179-211-233-295-369-375-381-393-483-
050040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY CARSON
CASTRO DEAF SMITH GRAY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS WHEELER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
WW 0457 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 457
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE ORF
TO 30 SE CXY.
..MOORE..07/05/26
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...AKQ...RLX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 457
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC015-019-039-045-047-050240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CECIL DORCHESTER SOMERSET
WICOMICO WORCESTER
ANZ539-540-541-543-630-650-050240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
Read more
WW 0456 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 456
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW FDY
TO 35 NE CMH TO 40 WNW HLG TO 5 W PIT TO 20 SSE ERI.
..MOORE..07/04/26
ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...ILN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 456
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC013-021-023-031-041-049-059-065-067-081-089-091-097-109-111-
119-121-149-159-042340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT CHAMPAIGN CLARK
COSHOCTON DELAWARE FRANKLIN
GUERNSEY HARDIN HARRISON
JEFFERSON LICKING LOGAN
MADISON MIAMI MONROE
MUSKINGUM NOBLE SHELBY
UNION
PAC003-005-019-031-051-053-059-063-065-121-125-129-042340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BUTLER
CLARION FAYETTE FOREST
GREENE INDIANA JEFFERSON
VENANGO WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
Read more
WW 0455 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 455
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SW SPI TO
30 NNE LAF.
..MOORE..07/04/26
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...IND...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 455
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-029-041-045-115-139-147-183-050040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN COLES DOUGLAS
EDGAR MACON MOULTRIE
PIATT VERMILION
INC011-023-045-057-063-097-107-121-133-157-165-171-050040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CLINTON FOUNTAIN
HAMILTON HENDRICKS MARION
MONTGOMERY PARKE PUTNAM
TIPPECANOE VERMILLION WARREN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
WW 0454 Status Updates
Read more
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Jul 5 03:16:08 UTC 2026.
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Sat Jul 04 2026
Valid 050100Z - 051200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL
AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND INTO THE DELMARVA...OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AND FROM
THE OZARK PLATEAU INTO SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Severe storms capable of severe winds with gusts in excess of 75 mph
and isolated occurrences of large hail remain possible across
Oklahoma, with more sporadic occurrences of large hail and damaging
winds from the Ozark Plateau into southern High Plains. Damaging
winds and some hail threat will continue from southern New England
into the Delmarva this evening. Isolated occurrences of large hail
and damaging winds remain possible over the central High Plains.
....Southern Plains into the Ozark Plateau...
Recent radar data indicate the evolution of a well-defined bow echo
over northeast OK with the crest of that feature moving toward Tulsa
at around 45 mph. Additional intense storms exhibiting some
supercell characteristics are being observed on the western flank of
the bow echo over north-central OK, with more widely scattered
strong to severe storm development from northwest OK into
east-central NM. The 00z OUN sounding is likely a good
representation of the inflow air mass to the ongoing storms,
featuring modestly steep lapse rates and with MLCAPE of around 2500
J/kg. The current KICT and KVNX VWPs are sampling stronger winds
above 5-6 km AGL than those observed by the 00Z OUN sounding,
suggesting that deep-layer shear is likely closer to 40-45 kt in the
vicinity of the ongoing storms.
Latest WoFS and HRRR data suggest the potential for a swath of
intense straight-line winds with gusts in excess of 75 mph over the
next 2-3 hours generally east of I-35 in OK in association with the
bow echo. More sporadic occurrences of large hail and damaging winds
will remain possible from western OK into eastern NM.
For additional near-term information, see MCD 1507.
...Southern New England to the Delmarva...
Multiple clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are ongoing as
of 00Z with several reports of wind damage and a 58 mph wind gust at
BWI Marshall Airport. The inflow air mass remains hot and moist this
evening with MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg, per latest mesoanalysis.
Regional VWPs and the 00Z OKX sounding indicate the strongest
mid-level flow and resultant vertical shear across the middle and
lower Hudson Valley into southern New England, which will support
embedded bowing and supercell structures capable of damaging winds
and large hail. Weaker vertical shear with southward extent into the
Delmarva is being offset by comparatively stronger instability,
which should allow for a continued damaging wind threat with storms
moving toward the coast.
For additional near-term details, see MCD 1505.
...Eastern Colorado into Central Nebraska...
Clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are ongoing this evening
from the vicinity of Broken Bow, NE into northeast CO amidst a steep
lapse rate and moderately unstable air mass, per 00Z LBF sounding.
In the absence of appreciable forcing for ascent, storms should tend
to weaken over the next couple of hours. In the near time, hail up
to 1.5" and locally severe wind gusts will remain possible.
For additional near-term details, see MCD 1506.
..Mead.. 07/05/2026
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