RSS Mesoscale Discussions from Storm Prediction Center
WW 396 SEVERE TSTM OK 260145Z - 260900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 396
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and Central Oklahoma
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 845 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Cluster of strong to severe storms moving across western
Oklahoma is forecast to continue eastward/southeastward into central
Oklahoma this evening. Environmental conditions suggest this cluster
will continue to pose a risk for severe gusts and isolated hail
throughout the evening. A low-probability tornado threat also
exists.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south southwest
of Fort Sill OK to 45 miles north northwest of Oklahoma City OK. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Mosier
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WW 393 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 252035Z - 260400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 393
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Oklahoma
Texas Panhandle and South Plains
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Higher-based storms including a few supercells are
expected to develop regionally through late afternoon and early
evening, with the potential evolution of one or more semi-organized
linear clusters this evening into western Oklahoma.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast
of Borger TX to 50 miles south southeast of Lubbock TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 391...WW 392...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Guyer
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WW 392 TORNADO KS OK TX 252000Z - 260300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 392
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Kansas
Northern Oklahoma
Northeast Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
SUMMARY...Initially, a cluster of storms will pose a severe threat
through mid/late afternoon across northeast Oklahoma, with
additional peripheral storm development possible. Meanwhile, an
outflow boundary will continue to stall and modify, with potential
severe-storm/supercell development across southwest Kansas and the
eastern Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into northwest Oklahoma through
this evening, where all severe hazards are possible including
tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of Liberal KS to
10 miles south southeast of Grove OK. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 391...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 29025.
...Guyer
Read more
WW 0396 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 396
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CHALMERS..06/26/26
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 396
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-043-049-051-055-057-065-
067-073-075-081-083-085-087-099-109-119-125-129-137-141-149-
260340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY GARVIN GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
JEFFERSON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MURRAY OKLAHOMA
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
WW 0395 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0395 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
WW 0394 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW AOO TO
15 SSE LBE TO 20 ESE HLG TO 15 WNW PIT TO 30 S FKL TO 5 NNW DUJ
TO 35 NW UNV AND 25 S JHW TO 25 S JHW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1324
..THOMPSON..06/26/26
ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
PAC003-005-007-013-019-021-033-063-065-125-129-260140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BLAIR BUTLER CAMBRIA
CLEARFIELD INDIANA JEFFERSON
WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
WW 0393 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 393
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE TCC TO
35 SW AMA TO 75 NNW CSM.
..CHALMERS..06/26/26
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-079-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-
189-191-211-219-279-303-305-345-369-381-437-445-483-501-
260340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS
COCHRAN COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY
FLOYD GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HEMPHILL
HOCKLEY LAMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOTLEY PARMER
RANDALL SWISHER TERRY
WHEELER YOAKUM
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CHALMERS..06/26/26
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TSA...OUN...AMA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 392
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-077-081-083-093-095-097-119-
129-151-175-187-189-191-260240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HARPER
HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY
KINGMAN KIOWA MEADE
MORTON PRATT SEWARD
STANTON STEVENS SUMNER
OKC001-003-007-011-021-035-037-041-043-045-047-053-059-071-073-
083-093-097-103-105-113-115-117-119-129-131-143-145-147-151-153-
260240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALFALFA BEAVER
BLAINE CHEROKEE CRAIG
CREEK DELAWARE DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
Read more
WW 0391 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 391
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/25/26
ATTN...WFO...CYS...RIW...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 391
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WYC001-007-009-015-019-021-025-027-031-252140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CARBON CONVERSE
GOSHEN JOHNSON LARAMIE
NATRONA NIOBRARA PLATTE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
MD 1327 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 393... FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1327
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0830 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
Areas affected...portions of the eastern Texas Panhandle into
western and central Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 393...
Valid 260130Z - 260300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 393
continues.
SUMMARY...The risk for primarily damaging wind gusts will expand
eastward from the eastern Texas Panhandle/western Oklahoma into
central Oklahoma over the next several hours.
DISCUSSION...A convective complex continues to evolve across the
eastern Texas Panhandle/far western Oklahoma as of 0130 UTC, with a
mixed mode of clusters/supercells noted via regional radar imagery.
While these storms have been slow to consolidate thus far, continued
cold pool development has yielded a more appreciable forward
acceleration over the past 30-60 minutes. Low-level inhibition has
begun to increase with the loss of diurnal heating, but a
strengthening southerly, low-level jet and effective shear around
35-40 kts should help sustain this cluster as it progresses
southeastward over the next couple of hours. The primary threat will
be for damaging wind gusts (with a significant gust or two possible,
primarily in the near-term). Isolated large hail and perhaps a brief
tornado also cannot be ruled out, especially along the
southern/southwestern flank of the complex where semi-discrete
supercell structures have been maintained. A downstream Severe
Thunderstorm Watch or extension of WW393 will eventually be needed.
..Chalmers/Mosier.. 06/26/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...
LAT...LON 35630033 36029971 36089961 36219921 36149868 35959807
35759766 35429722 35079717 34719734 34419790 34369868
34549944 34809996 35220041 35450044 35630033
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0743 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN/WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
Evolving clusters of storms may still pose a risk for producing
strong to severe wind gusts across parts of the south central Great
Plains tonight.
...01Z Update..
A weak lee surface cyclone centered across the northern Texas
Panhandle and remnant surface boundary, reinforced by convective
outflow and differential afternoon surface heating, appear likely to
provide the primary focus for strongest thunderstorm development
into the overnight hours. Forcing for ascent associated with
low-level convergence and warm advection to the east of the low has
supported an evolving cluster of storms now propagating
east-southeastward into western Oklahoma, in the presence of 20 kt
westerly deep-layer mean flow. Due to veering of wind fields with
height in lower to mid-levels, deep-layer shear is strong, and
further intensification still appears possible as the surface cold
pool continues to strengthen, and updraft inflow increasingly
emanates from a boundary layer over west central Oklahoma
characterized by seasonably high moisture content with sizable
potential instability.
Upstream, forcing for ascent associated with a weak mid-level
perturbation appears to be contributing to increasing thunderstorm
development across parts of southwestern Kansas into the Texas
Panhandle. This activity may continue to grow upscale this evening,
with stronger convective development perhaps becoming focused along
outflow trailing the preceding cluster by late this evening, while
developing southeastward.
Some risk for a couple of tornadoes continues, but the risk for
strong, damaging wind gusts will increasingly become the primary
potential severe hazard through mid to late evening.
Otherwise, though it is appearing more uncertain, the remnant
baroclinic zone to the east of the surface low could still become a
focus for another evolving cluster of storms later tonight, as it
remains quasi-stationary or shifts slowly northward across parts of
northern Oklahoma/southern Kansas.
..Kerr.. 06/26/2026
Read more
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0502 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
Valid 271200Z - 031200Z
...Synopsis...
A robust fire weather pattern is expected to persist across an
expansive portion of the Intermountain West through the middle of
next week. Dry thunderstorms early in the forecast period followed
by consecutive days of exceptionally dry and breezy conditions will
promote significant fire weather concerns for any new ignitions,
lightning holdovers, and ongoing large fires across the western
CONUS.
Forecast guidance continues to show a major, seasonally abnormal
trough traversing the western CONUS through Day 4/Sunday, posing
considerable fire weather concerns for the Great Basin and much of
the Southwest. A strong cold front and accompanying wind shift (from
broadly southwesterly to northerly) will push through the region
sometime on Sunday. This wind shift and associated wind gusts may
further exacerbate ongoing wildfires and impact control efforts.
...Days 3-4/Saturday-Sunday...
A strong mid-level jet overspreads much of the Interior West as an
upper trough amplifies across the Northwestern U.S., scouring out
remaining meaningful atmospheric moisture in the Great Basin and
Southwest. Forecast guidance suggests a corridor of stronger
southwesterly winds of 25-35 mph developing under the stronger jet,
expanding from southeastern NV into the CO Plateau on Day
3/Saturday. Critical fire weather conditions will continue on Day
4/Sunday as the mid-level jet translates slightly eastward,
expanding from the Four Corners into the northern Plains. Of note,
Day 4/Sunday may be a third consecutive day of amplified sustained
winds of 25-35 mph across portions of the Great Basin. An extended
burning period is expected, with consecutive days of poor overnight
humidity recoveries and residual gusty winds further exacerbating
the fire environment. The potential for localized extremely critical
fire weather conditions may exist where single-digit RH and very
strong sustained winds overlap receptive fuels.
...Days 5-6/Monday-Tuesday...
Elevated southwesterly flow associated with persistent upper-level
troughing across the West should support a prolonged fire weather
threat across the central Rockies, Great Basin and parts of the
Southwest. As such, 40% Critical probabilities have been maintained.
Fuels are expected to remain quite receptive through the extended
forecast period with minimal-to-no chances of precipitation this
weekend into early next week.
A strong upper ridge is forecast to build over the central and
eastern CONUS next week, maintaining a troughing pattern across the
West. Above normal temperatures and overall drier conditions may
encourage fire weather concerns to emerge in the Southeast. As dry
southwesterly flow persists across the Southwest and Great Basin
through the forecast period, Critical fire weather probabilities may
be needed in future outlooks as guidance becomes better resolved.
..Elizalde-Garcia.. 06/25/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
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