RSS Mesoscale Discussions from Storm Prediction Center
WW 21 SEVERE TSTM IL MO 070425Z - 071200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 21
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West-Central Illinois
East-Central Missouri
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1025 PM
until 600 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Squall line is slowly maturing across central Missouri.
Damaging winds may become more common with this line of storms as it
surges across east-central Missouri early this morning. A tornado or
two can not be ruled out, though damaging winds are the primary
concern.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles south southwest
of Scott Afb IL to 60 miles northwest of Saint Louis MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 18...WW 19...WW 20...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Darrow
Read more
WW 20 TORNADO AR OK 070355Z - 071000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 20
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 955 PM
until 400 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...A few thunderstorms will persist overnight across the
watch area, in a favorable sheared environment. This might pose a
risk of a supercell or two capable of tornadoes, damaging winds, and
hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Fayetteville AR to 65
miles south of Mcalester OK. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 15...WW 16...WW 18...WW
19...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
Read more
WW 19 TORNADO IA IL KS MO 070215Z - 071000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 19
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
815 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Iowa
Extreme Northwest Illinois
East-Central Kansas
Northern Missouri
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 815 PM
until 400 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms are increasing in
coverage this evening across parts of Iowa and Missouri. These
storms are forming in a strongly sheared environment that could
support the development of a few supercells capable of tornadoes,
hail, and damaging wind gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles north of Cedar Rapids IA to 45
miles east southeast of Kansas City MO. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 15...WW 16...WW 17...WW
18...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
Read more
WW 18 TORNADO KS MO 062345Z - 070700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 18
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
545 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Southwest Missouri
* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 545
PM until 100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...A cluster of supercell thunderstorms over northeast
Oklahoma will build northeastward into the watch through the
evening. The strongest cells will pose a risk of a few tornadoes,
damaging wind gusts, and hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles south southwest of Joplin MO
to 90 miles north northwest of Springfield MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 15...WW 16...WW 17...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
Read more
WW 16 TORNADO IA KS MO NE 062115Z - 070400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 16
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
315 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and Central Iowa
Central and Northeast Kansas
Northwest Missouri
Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to develop near a
northeast/southwest-oriented cold front, with additional development
possible into this evening ahead of it. All aspects of severe
weather are possible including large hail, damaging winds, and
tornado potential.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles south southwest of Russell
KS to 50 miles south southeast of Fort Dodge IA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 15...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.
...Guyer
Read more
WW 0021 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0021 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
WW 0020 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0020 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
WW 0019 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 W DSM TO
35 NE ALO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0158
..MOORE..03/07/26
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...EAX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC161-070440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ROCK ISLAND
IAC007-011-013-019-031-045-051-055-057-061-087-095-097-099-101-
103-105-107-111-113-115-117-123-125-127-135-139-157-163-171-177-
179-183-185-070440-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE BENTON BLACK HAWK
BUCHANAN CEDAR CLINTON
DAVIS DELAWARE DES MOINES
DUBUQUE HENRY IOWA
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JOHNSON JONES KEOKUK
LEE LINN LOUISA
LUCAS MAHASKA MARION
Read more
WW 0018 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 18
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..03/07/26
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...EAX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-019-021-037-049-099-125-133-205-207-070340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD ELK
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
MOC009-011-013-015-029-039-043-057-059-077-083-085-097-105-109-
119-131-141-145-167-185-209-217-225-070340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
BENTON CAMDEN CEDAR
CHRISTIAN DADE DALLAS
GREENE HENRY HICKORY
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON POLK ST. CLAIR
STONE VERNON WEBSTER
Read more
WW 0017 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W LAF TO
25 E SBN TO 20 SW LAN.
..MOORE..03/07/26
ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX...GRR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC017-039-049-085-087-103-113-151-169-183-070340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS ELKHART FULTON
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE MIAMI
NOBLE STEUBEN WABASH
WHITLEY
MIC023-059-070340-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH HILLSDALE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
WW 0016 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE HUT TO
25 WSW MHK TO 25 NNE MHK TO 5 SSW BIE TO 30 WSW OMA TO 25 SSW FOD
TO 40 SW ALO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0157
..MOORE..03/07/26
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...ICT...TOP...GID...DDC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-015-029-039-049-053-071-073-077-121-129-137-145-153-
155-159-169-173-175-181-070340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS BOONE
CASS CLARKE DALLAS
DECATUR FREMONT GREENE
GUTHRIE MADISON MILLS
MONTGOMERY PAGE POLK
POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD STORY
TAYLOR UNION WARREN
KSC003-005-013-017-031-041-043-045-059-061-085-087-111-115-127-
131-139-149-177-197-070340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
Read more
WW 0015 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 15
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW PRX TO
10 SE ADM TO 15 NNE PNC.
..SPC..03/07/26
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...SHV...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 15
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-069-077-079-091-
097-101-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-127-131-133-135-143-
145-147-070340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE MCINTOSH
MAYES MUSKOGEE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
ROGERS SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
MD 0158 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 16...19... FOR NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND EASTERN IOWA
Mesoscale Discussion 0158
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0943 PM CST Fri Mar 06 2026
Areas affected...Northeast Kansas into northern Missouri and eastern
Iowa
Concerning...Tornado Watch 16...19...
Valid 070343Z - 070545Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 16, 19 continues.
SUMMARY...Some threat for severe hail, wind, and perhaps a tornado,
persists across portions of WW 16 and WW 19 from northeast Kansas
into northern Missouri and portions of eastern Iowa.
DISCUSSION...Latest regional radar imagery depicts most of the
ongoing convection across northeast KS and into western IA being
undercut by a strong cold front. Despite this, GOES IR imagery has
shown a few stronger updrafts developing over the past 30 minutes
along the post-frontal convective line, and cooling cloud-top
temperatures are noted with pre-frontal convection across
central/eastern IA as well. While much of this activity is elevated
in nature, it remains in a conditionally favorable environment for
severe convection with MUCAPE remaining near 1500 J/kg and effective
bulk shear near 50 knots. This will continue to support some
potential for organized deep convection capable of producing
sporadic large hail and perhaps damaging winds. Latest guidance
hints that ongoing warm advection ahead of the front may support
additional thunderstorms in the coming hours - particularly from
northern MO into southern IA. If such convection emerges, the
favorably sheared environment may support some tornado threat,
though this potential is uncertain given no signs of imminent
surface-based development within the pre-frontal regime.
..Moore.. 03/07/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
LAT...LON 39429616 39929557 42549320 42649240 42639178 42419142
42059134 41649150 40979201 40389280 39719375 39109498
38939563 38949589 38969613 39169630 39429616
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0706 PM CST Fri Mar 06 2026
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY FROM
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms remain possible primarily from northeast
Oklahoma into Kansas, Missouri and Iowa, with isolated severe storms
extending from central Texas to Lower Michigan. Scattered hail,
damaging winds, and a few tornadoes remain possible.
...Discussion...
The most active area of tornado threat is currently with a cluster
of storms over northeast OK. This activity may continue to evolve
this evening as the low-level jet increases, and shear remains
favorable into eastern KS and southwest MO. The TOP and SGF 00Z
soundings continue to show wind profiles favorable for tornadic
cells.
To the north along the cold front, an unstable air mass remains
ahead of it, although the front will quickly undercut much of the
area as it continues south. However, brief supercells may occur
along the boundary, with wind and tornado threat, and, elevated hail
will remain possible well behind the front.
For more information about KS into IA, see mesoscale discussion
0152.
For information on northeast OK, see mesoscale discussion 0153.
For information on northern IN into southern Lower MI, see mesoscale
discussion 0154.
..Jewell.. 03/07/2026
Read more
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