193
FXUS61 KBTV 010715
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
315 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 315 AM EDT Monday...

No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 315 AM EDT Monday...

1. Mostly dry and quiet week.

2. Warmer and drier period of weather is expected from Thursday
through Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 315 AM EDT Monday...

KEY MESSAGE 1:  For the past several days, large scale troughing has
been in place and large-scale ridging has been stationed out west.
That will flip this week as the troughing moves out to the east and
the ridging builds in. This will lead to an almost completely dry
week and a warming trend. The only real shower chance is today and
at most an isolated sprinkle or two would fall. Ideal radiational
cooling will occur the next few nights so patchy frost will be
possible in the coldest hollows of the Adiorndacks and Northeast
Kingdom, but temperatures should stay above 40 for most places.
Highs will be in the 60s for most places today and rise into the 80s
for most places by the end of the week, but dew points will stay
low.

KEY MESSAGE 2:  An upper level ridge will build into the area from
Wednesday night into early Friday. Maximum temperatures on Thursday
and Friday will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s. A weak surface
trough will cross the area Friday bringing chance for rain showers.
Saturday and Sunday will remain pretty warm with temperatures just a
few degrees cooler than Thursday and Friday. A better chance for
showers will arrive Saturday night into Sunday with both a surface
front and some decent upper level shortwave energy. This far out,
there is plenty of time for things to shift a bit.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Tuesday...Another area of light rain showers is
dropping southward across eastern Vermont. Fog or mist has
formed at all terminals except MSS and BTV at this time, and
should remain through the overnight, lifting after 12z. Winds
are light and variable, and will become north or northeast at 5
to 10 knots beyond 12z. Skies will trend FEW or SCT with perhaps
a few cumulus clouds in the afternoon.

Outlook...

Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Myskowski
DISCUSSION...Myskowski/Neiles
AVIATION...Neiles