292
FXUS61 KBTV 051708
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
108 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 230 AM EDT Sunday...

No significant changes were made to the previous forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 230 AM EDT Sunday...

1. Much more pleasant weather conditions will occur today with
a dry airmass over the region. Some low chances of showers
return late Monday into Tuesday as low passes south of Vermont.

2. Warmer weather expected for the middle of next week, with
chances for showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 230 AM EDT Sunday...

KEY MESSAGE 1: A dry continental airmass has moved into the
region and will keep conditions much more pleasant despite
temperatures ranging a couple/few degrees above seasonal
averages. Temperatures will generally be running in the upper
70s to mid 80s through Tuesday.

Next chances for showers return late Monday and Tuesday as a
low moves through southern New York state. Isentropic lift is
favored to be sufficient enough and penetrate northward into
southern Vermont with some shower chances in central and
possibly northern Vermont by Tuesday should the low`s track be
shift northward. Otherwise, winds will remain light

KEY MESSAGE 2: Warm weather is expected to build towards the
middle of the week, with current forecast high temperatures in
the 80s to low 90s. A cold front will eventually move through
the region, most likely late Thursday or Friday, with drier and
more seasonable conditions expected heading toward the weekend.
Showers and thunderstorms will accompany the frontal passage,
with the potential for any stronger storms to be monitored as we
get closer as there is still plenty of uncertainty regarding
the exact strength and timing of these features.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 18Z Monday..VFR conditions are expected to prevail
throughout the forecast period. Winds will be light and
variable. Some high clouds overnight should help keep fog out of
the terminals.

Outlook...

Monday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Likely SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance
TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Boyd
DISCUSSION...Boyd/Kremer
AVIATION...Neiles