390
FXUS61 KBTV 301731
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1231 PM EST Fri Jan 30 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 1247 AM EST Friday...
No significant changes.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 1247 AM EST Friday...
1. Cold temperatures and a couple chances of snow showers
through the Weekend.
2. Quiet weather is expected from Sunday night through Friday.
Temperatures will remain below seasonal normals through the
period.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
As of 1247 AM EST Friday...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Large scale troughing will continue to dominate
the weather through the weekend, but there will be no
significant storm systems. The nor`easter will stay well to the
south and east, so no snow is expected in the region from it.
Its only effects look to be increased northerly winds on Sunday
and a few high clouds. Snow showers will develop during the rest
of the night and into the day today as moisture descends from
the northeast as part of weak warm air advection. A few of these
could linger into Saturday in the mountains. Due to a
relatively stationary pattern, the air was able to wrap around
off the North Atlantic and down through Quebec so it will
technically be marine modified. The coldest day will be today
with highs in the single digits for most places. Highs over the
weekend will be in the teens for most places, and lows look to
be in the single digits above and below zero, but they could end
being a bit lower if there are less low clouds and the boundary
layer is able to decouple.
KEY MESSAGE 2: Only very slight chances for light snow showers
at times through the period. Maximum temperatures will be in the
teens to lower 20s, and minimum temperatures will be in the
single digits above and below zero. Some indications that an
upper level trough could bring some snow showers and maybe
temperatures closer to seasonal normals late next week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 18Z Saturday...Conditions continue to improve across
regional TAF sites this afternoon with VFR conditions now
prevailing at all TAF sites. Winds remain gusty out of the W/NW
at 12 to 20 knots and will continue to slowly abate as we head
into the evening hours. A flurry or two cannot be ruled out at
KEFK this afternoon but should have little to no impacts to the
flight category there. Clouds will build in from the north
overnight but ceilings will remain in the 4-8 kft range. VFR
conditions are again expected on Saturday with lighter northerly
winds expected.
Outlook...
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
NOAA Weather Radio station WXM-44, transmitting from Mt.
Ascutney, Vermont, on frequency 162.475 MHz is non- operational
at this time. NWS technicians have diagnosed the problem, but
repairs will likely not be able to occur for quite some time due
to circumstances beyond our control. Therefore, the time of
return to service is currently unknown. The following NOAA
Weather Radio transmitters may be able to provide service during
this outage: WWG 50 from Burke Mtn, VT at 162.425 MHz and WNG
546 from Hanover, NH at 162.525 MHz.
The Colchester Reef meteorological station is out of service.
This site is not serviced by the NWS and there isn`t an
estimated return to service at present. Use extra caution when
navigating the broad waters of Lake Champlain. Please contact us
if you observe winds significantly deviating from the
recreational forecast.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Cold Weather Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
VTZ001>011-016>021.
NY...Cold Weather Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
NYZ026>028-035-087.
Extreme Cold Warning until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
NYZ029>031-034.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Kremer/Storm
AVIATION...JMG
EQUIPMENT...NWS BTV
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