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FXUS61 KBTV 241112
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
712 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Quiet weather will continue through the weekend with scattered
to overcast highs clouds associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone
Ophelia as it moves northward into the Mid Atlantic. No
precipitation is expected from this system across the North
Country, with very low chances for showers in southern Vermont.
Much of next week is expected to be dry with near normal
temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 130 AM EDT Sunday...Quiet weather will continue across
our region through Monday. Some light showers associated with
moisture from Post-Tropical Cyclone Ophelia are reaching parts
of Southern Vermont, while most of our area is under some high
clouds from this system. Despite the high cloud cover, we`ve had
some fog form with calm conditions and only thin clouds in
place. Some of the radar reflectivities edging northward don`t
appear to be reaching the ground with dry air mass still in
place. Scattered to broken mid/high clouds will persist across
the region today, before clearing from northwest to southeast
tonight. Highs today will be similar to yesterday in the low 70s
north to mid 60s south. Lows tonight will be similar to last
night in the 40s to low 50s. Monday will start our stretch of
dry weather with near seasonal temperatures as remnants of
Ophelia pull away from the CONUS. Some fair weather cumulus over
the high terrain is expected in the afternoon, but otherwise a
mainly sunny day is expected with highs reaching the upper 60s
to lower 70s once again.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 300 AM EDT Sunday...Strengthening high pressure over
Quebec, Canada, will be the main feature in control of our
weather for the early week, keeping conditions dry. Mostly clear
skies from a dry air mass and strong subsidence will be perfect
for radiational cooling Monday night, dropping temperatures
into the chilly mid to upper 30s for the cold spots of the
Adirondacks, and 40s elsewhere, all in all fairly seasonable for
the second half of September, and we are not concerned about
widespread frost. This will also allow for radiation fog in the
typical valleys as easterly winds decrease. Tuesday will also
see seasonable highs in the mid to upper 60s under a beautiful
sunny sky. There could be a light northwesterly breeze, but
generally a pleasant, quiet day for the North Country expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 300 AM EDT Sunday...It`s copy and paste weather through
next weekend with conditions similar to the short term expected
throughout the long term: high pressure, not a drop of precip,
mostly sunny days providing highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s
and mainly clear nights with lows 30s to lower 50s, moderating
slightly each night. Radiation fog possible to likely each
night, especially in the typical river valleys.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...A bit of a tricky aviation forecast once
again with high clouds in place and some fog developing despite
lack of clear skies. Some showers are impacting RUT associated
with Post-Tropical Cyclone Ophelia. MPV and EFK already have
fog, with MPV as low as LIFR. Expect SLK to develop similar
conditions. Other sites should remain VFR through the period.
Winds will be variable at 4-8kts during the daylight hours and
mainly calm overnight areawide.

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Storm
LONG TERM...Storm
AVIATION...Neiles