000
FXUS61 KBTV 240746
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
346 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Quiet weather will continue through the weekend with scattered
to overcast highs clouds associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone
Ophelia as it moves northward into the Mid Atlantic. No
precipitation is expected from this system across the North
Country, with very low chances for showers in southern Vermont.
Much of next week is expected to be dry with near normal
temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 130 AM EDT Sunday...Quiet weather will continue across
our region through Monday. Some light showers associated with
moisture from Post-Tropical Cyclone Ophelia are reaching parts
of Southern Vermont, while most of our area is under some high
clouds from this system. Despite the high cloud cover, we`ve had
some fog form with calm conditions and only thin clouds in
place. Some of the radar reflectivities edging northward don`t
appear to be reaching the ground with dry air mass still in
place. Scattered to broken mid/high clouds will persist across
the region today, before clearing from northwest to southeast
tonight. Highs today will be similar to yesterday in the low 70s
north to mid 60s south. Lows tonight will be similar to last
night in the 40s to low 50s. Monday will start our stretch of
dry weather with near seasonal temperatures as remnants of
Ophelia pull away from the CONUS. Some fair weather cumulus over
the high terrain is expected in the afternoon, but otherwise a
mainly sunny day is expected with highs reaching the upper 60s
to lower 70s once again.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 343 AM EDT Sunday...Monday will be the start of a
prolonged dry spell as moisture associated with Ophelia`s
remnants gets shunted away to the south. Some fair weather
cumulus may develop over the higher terrain in the afternoon,
but overall expect ample sunshine. Winds will be a touch on the
brisk side, blowing from the north/northeast at 5 to 10 mph, but
overall it should be a pleasant day. Dry weather will continue
into the overnight hours under partly to mostly clear skies.
Highs on Monday will range from the mid 60s to the lower 70s.
Radiational cooling Monday night will result in chilly
temperatures; upper 30s to mid 40s in the higher elevations, and
mid and upper 40s in the wider valleys.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 343 AM EDT Sunday...Picture perfect fall weather is
expected through next week as high pressure settles over the
region. Mostly clear skies will dominate, along with light
winds. As such, overnight temperatures will be a bit on the
chilly side owing to optimal radiational cooling, so would
expect lots of lows in the 40s, and even some 30s in the cold
prone locations in the Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom.
Meanwhile, daytime highs will be near normal, in the mid 60s to
low 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...A bit of a tricky aviation forecast once
again with high clouds in place and some fog developing despite
lack of clear skies. Some showers are impacting RUT associated
with Post-Tropical Cyclone Ophelia. MPV and EFK already have
fog, with MPV as low as LIFR. Expect SLK to develop similar
conditions. Other sites should remain VFR through the period.
Winds will be variable at 4-8kts during the daylight hours and
mainly calm overnight areawide.

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Storm
LONG TERM...Storm
AVIATION...Neiles