000
FXUS61 KBTV 240558
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
158 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Quiet weather will continue through the weekend with scattered to
overcast highs clouds associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone
Ophelia as it moves northward into the Mid Atlantic. No
precipitation is expected from this system across the North
Country, with very low chances for showers in southern Vermont.
Much of next week is expected to be dry with near normal
temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 130 AM EDT Sunday...Quiet weather will continue across our
region through Monday. Some light showers associated with
moisture from Post-Tropical Cyclone Ophelia are reaching parts
of Southern Vermont, while most of our area is under some high
clouds from this system. Despite the high cloud cover, we`ve had
some fog form with calm conditions and only thin clouds in
place. Some of the radar reflectivities edging northward don`t
appear to be reaching the ground with dry air mass still in
place. Scattered to broken mid/high clouds will persist across
the region today, before clearing from northwest to southeast
tonight. Highs today will be similar to yesterday in the low
70s north to mid 60s south. Lows tonight will be similar to
last night in the 40s to low 50s. Monday will start our stretch
of dry weather with near seasonal temperatures as remnants of
Ophelia pull away from the CONUS. Some fair weather cumulus
over the high terrain is expected in the afternoon, but
otherwise a mainly sunny day is expected with highs reaching the
upper 60s to lower 70s once again.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 254 PM EDT Saturday...Monday will be the start of a prolonged
dry spell as moisture associated with Ophelia`s remnants gets
shunted away to the south. Some fair weather cumulus may develop
over the higher terrain in the afternoon, but overall expect ample
sunshine. Winds will be a touch on the brisk side, blowing from the
north/northeast at 5 to 10 mph, but overall it should be a pleasant
day. Dry weather will continue into the overnight hours under partly
to mostly clear skies. Highs on Monday will range from the mid 60s
to the lower 70s. Radiational cooling Monday night will result in
chilly temperatures; upper 30s to mid 40s in the higher elevations,
and mid and upper 40s in the wider valleys.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 254 PM EDT Saturday...Picture perfect fall weather is expected
through next week as high pressure settles over the region. Mostly
clear skies will dominate, along with light winds. As such,
overnight temperatures will be a bit on the chilly side owing to
optimal radiational cooling, so would expect lots of lows in the
40s, and even some 30s in the cold prone locations in the
Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom. Meanwhile, daytime highs will be
near normal, in the mid 60s to low 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...A bit of a tricky aviation forecast once
again with high clouds in place and some fog developing despite
lack of clear skies. Some showers are impacting RUT associated
with Post-Tropical Cyclone Ophelia. MPV and EFK already have
fog, with MPV as low as LIFR. Expect SLK to develop similar
conditions. Other sites should remain VFR through the period.
Winds will be variable at 4-8kts during the daylight hours and
mainly calm overnight areawide.

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Hastings
LONG TERM...Hastings
AVIATION...Neiles