986
FXUS61 KBTV 251405
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1005 AM EDT Thu Jul 25 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will bring some isolated to scattered showers to the
region today. Behind the front, it will become noticeably drier and
cooler, setting the stage for a pleasant weekend. Dry weather will
continue into early next week but the heat and humidity will start
to build.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1000 AM EDT Thursday...Minimal changes needed to the
forecast as the cold front continues to push through the region
this morning. Dew points have dropped into the 50s across parts
of northern New York and northern Vermont and they will
continue to fall. Dew points should reach the 50s in southern
Vermont this afternoon. A few showers have developed on the
front in eastern Vermont but they will be brief and relatively
unimpactful.
Previous Discussion...Shower activity continues to wane across
the region early this morning ahead of the approaching cold front
that will push across the region today. A few more additional
showers will be possible during the day, although they will be
fairly lack-luster and limited in areal coverage. Behind the front,
northwesterly flow will usher in a drier and more comfortable
airmass. High temperatures will warm into the 70s, with some low 80s
in the broad valleys. Dewpoints will finally drop below 60, feeling
quite refreshing. Overnight lows will be seasonable, with
temperatures in the 50s and low 60s.
Friday will be a beautiful day across the region as high pressure
builds over the Great Lakes and northwesterly flow continues,
allowing for plenty of sunshine. High temperatures will be
seasonable, in the upper 70s to low 80s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 332 AM EDT Thursday...The weather will be dry and seasonable
for Friday night and Saturday with large surface and upper level
ridges building into the region. Skies will be mostly clear, winds
light and variable. Temperatures Friday night will dip into the 50s
areawide with a few lower 60s in the Champlain valley. On Saturday
with almost full sunshine, will see temperatures rise back into the
upper 70s to lower 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 332 AM EDT Thursday...Our weather will remain dry Saturday
night through Monday with surface and upper level ridges still
dominating our weather pattern. Upper level ridging will allow for
warm air to move into our area, and a gradual warming trend is
expected, continuing right into next week. Upper level ridge will
finally give way to some upper level troughiness around Monday night
into Tuesday bringing our next chance for showers to the area.
Of course there`s still a lot of uncertainty this far out, but
some models indicate chance for showers continuing through a
good chunk of next week.
&&
.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 12z Friday...Mostly VFR conditions across the region,
outside some MVFR ceilings across the St. Lawrence Valley at
KMSS and some IFR stratus east of the Green Mountains seen at
KMPV. As the morning progresses, clouds will continue to scatter
out, with all terminals trending towards VFR. A few isolated to
scattered showers will be possible throughout the day as a cold
front moves through, but areal coverage will be rather small.
Winds will continue to become more northwesterly throughout the
day, with some gusts possible during the afternoon.
Outlook...
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Kremer
NEAR TERM...Kremer/Myskowski
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Kremer
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