337
FXUS61 KBTV 251735
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
135 PM EDT Thu Jul 25 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will bring some isolated to scattered showers to the
region today. Behind the front, it will become noticeably drier and
cooler, setting the stage for a pleasant weekend. Dry weather will
continue into early next week but the heat and humidity will start
to build.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1230 PM EDT Thursday...Minimal changes were needed to the
forecast as the cold front continues to push through the region.
Any showers associated with the front that were over eastern
Vermont have moved out of the region by this point. A few light
wrap around showers will enter northern areas this afternoon
but they will not have meaningful impacts. Dew points have
fallen into the 50s across northern New York and Vermont and
they are beginning to fall into 50s in southern Vermont. Dew
points will continue to drop this afternoon.
Previous Discussion...Shower activity continues to wane across
the region early this morning ahead of the approaching cold front
that will push across the region today. A few more additional
showers will be possible during the day, although they will be
fairly lack-luster and limited in areal coverage. Behind the front,
northwesterly flow will usher in a drier and more comfortable
airmass. High temperatures will warm into the 70s, with some low 80s
in the broad valleys. Dewpoints will finally drop below 60, feeling
quite refreshing. Overnight lows will be seasonable, with
temperatures in the 50s and low 60s.
Friday will be a beautiful day across the region as high pressure
builds over the Great Lakes and northwesterly flow continues,
allowing for plenty of sunshine. High temperatures will be
seasonable, in the upper 70s to low 80s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 332 AM EDT Thursday...The weather will be dry and seasonable
for Friday night and Saturday with large surface and upper level
ridges building into the region. Skies will be mostly clear, winds
light and variable. Temperatures Friday night will dip into the 50s
areawide with a few lower 60s in the Champlain valley. On Saturday
with almost full sunshine, will see temperatures rise back into the
upper 70s to lower 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 332 AM EDT Thursday...Our weather will remain dry Saturday
night through Monday with surface and upper level ridges still
dominating our weather pattern. Upper level ridging will allow for
warm air to move into our area, and a gradual warming trend is
expected, continuing right into next week. Upper level ridge will
finally give way to some upper level troughiness around Monday night
into Tuesday bringing our next chance for showers to the area.
Of course there`s still a lot of uncertainty this far out, but
some models indicate chance for showers continuing through a
good chunk of next week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 18Z Monday... All terminals are currently VFR and they will
remain that way for the rest of the afternoon. There is the chance
of a light shower at any of the northern terminals but it would not
contain lightning or significantly lower visibilities. Ceilings will
gradually form and lower a bit this afternoon and evening, and they
will likely drop to MVFR at MPV, SLK and EFK sometime tonight. There
is a low chance that they could briefly fall to IFR at any of these
terminals. The clouds will dissipate late tonight and any ceilings
will return to VFR. VFR conditions will persist through the rest of
the period after that happens. Winds will gradually shift to
northwesterly today and will then lighten a bit tonight.
Outlook...
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Kremer
NEAR TERM...Kremer/Myskowski
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Myskowski
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