918
FXUS61 KBTV 232325
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
725 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 210 PM EDT Friday...
No significant changes have been made to the forecast.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 210 PM EDT Friday...
1. Dry and quiet weather will continue into the start of next
week, with seasonably warm temperatures expected
2. Dry weather will persist much of next week with high
pressure slowly crossing the region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
As of 210 PM EDT Friday...
KEY MESSAGE 1: The stretch of dry and quiet weather will persist across
the region as high pressure continues to build into the region, with
the center of the high overhead tomorrow into Sunday before
gradually shifting eastward. Ideal radiational cooling conditions
will allow for some cold overnight lows tonight, with temperatures
dropping into the teens and 20s, likely a few degrees cooler than
the last few nights. Temperatures will gradually moderate throughout
the weekend, with high temperatures warming into the lower 60s for
Sunday and Monday. Dewpoints will be fairly low, dropping into the
20s or so, but no fire weather concerns are anticipated given the
lack of winds across the region with the high pressure overhead. A
weak cold front looks to move through the region on Monday, but with
such dry air ahead of the feature and lack of moisture, no
precipitation is expected just a slight increase in cloud cover.
KEY MESSAGE 2: Our prolonged period of dry weather will continue
through at least the middle part of next week as sprawling high
pressure returns on Tuesday. Longer range models continue to show
another cold frontal passage late week, accompanied by light QPF.
Given the lack of a deep plume of moisture ahead of this front,
wouldn`t be surprised if we get nothing but a period of increased
cloud cover, much like our frontal passage yesterday. Still, it`s a
week out, so have stayed with the NBM/WPC forecast for now, which
gives low chances of showers late next week. Temperatures will
remain seasonable, coolest on Tuesday but warming as the week
progresses.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 00Z Sunday...VFR conditions will prevail through the entire
TAF period. The potential for fog is fairly low due to our
recent dry spell, but could briefly occur between 10z and 12z at
KMSS, KSLK, or KMPV. Reductions in visibility, if any, will
likely last no longer than a half hour. Some passing high clouds
will be possible, but high pressure will be centered over our
region. Winds will be light and variable over the next 24 hours.
Outlook...
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
WHAT HAS CHANGED...Kremer
DISCUSSION...Hastings/Kremer
AVIATION...Haynes
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