000
FXUS61 KBTV 231740
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
140 PM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
High clouds will continue to increase today as Tropical Storm
Ophelia slowly moves northward into the Mid Atlantic. This system
will remain well to our south through the weekend, with the only
expected impacts being high cloud cover and low chances for showers
in southern Vermont. Much of next week is expected to be dry with
near normal temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 140 PM EDT Saturday...It`s a nearly perfect first day of
fall out there across the region with bone dry conditions and
just some scattered to broken high clouds streaming in
associated with TS Ophelia. Should see temps nudge just a few
more degrees for highs in the low 70s north to low 60s south
with winds mainly light except a little brisker around 10 mph
across northern New York.

For tonight, there`s about a 20% chance of showers sprinkling
across southern Rutland and Windsor counties this evening
through tomorrow with the excess tropical moisture, but overall
conditions should remain quiet and dry. highs will be in the
mid-60s in southern zones where clouds persist to the lower 70s
in the wider valleys, especially north. Lows will also be milder
tonight with the insulating cloud cover, and fog chances will
be lower overall.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 346 AM EDT Saturday...We will be squeezed between a couple
weather features on Sunday night and Monday which will lead to quiet
weather for our forecast area. Decaying tropical system to our south
and an upper level shortwave approaching from the north, with quiet
weather in between. Will see an increase in clouds on Monday with
shortwave finally crossing our area. Only expect possibility of very
light rain showers in southern Vermont associated with decaying
tropical system. Temperatures will be a few degrees above seasonal
normals for late September.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 346 AM EDT Saturday...From Monday night through Saturday we
will have an extended period of dry weather as high pressure settles
over the region out of Canada. Daytime maximum temperatures will be
close to seasonal normals while the overnights will be on the cool
side with some radiational cooling conditions possible.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 18Z Sunday...VFR conditions will mainly prevail through
the period under SCT-OVC high clouds at or above 20,000 feet.
Only exceptions will by KRUT where ceilings will lower to around
6,000 feet after sunrise Sunday, and LIFR fog is likely at KSLK
from 07-12Z. Otherwise, no precipitation is expected and winds
will be variable at 5-10kts during the daylight hours and calm
overnight.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Storm
NEAR TERM...Lahiff/Storm
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Lahiff