368
FXUS61 KBTV 142341
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
741 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will dominate the weather this week, with mostly
dry conditions continuing until Friday. A few showers are
possible at the end of the week and for the start of the
weekend, but meaningful precipitation is not expected. After a
couple seasonable days, temperatures will climb well above
average ahead of a cold front on Friday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 233 PM EDT Sunday...A few showers have developed across
the terrain this afternoon associated with a cold front, most
notably in the eastern Adirondacks where there was likely some
contribution from a lake breeze. These showers will fall apart
quickly later this afternoon and evening. A few lucky places
were able to receive up to a half an inch of rain, but the vast
majority of places remained dry. Surface high pressure will
descend out of Quebec tonight and it will remain over the region
for the next few days. Temperatures will be close to seasonable
to start the week, but a warming trend will begin on Tuesday.
Highs will approach eighty in the broad valleys, but the
humidity will stay low. Therefore, radiational cooling will
allow temperatures to drop off well at night. Lows will be in
the forties and fifties. Fog will likely occur each night in the
climatological favored valleys.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 233 PM EDT Sunday...Surface high pressure will remain in
control through Tuesday. The warming trend will continue,
sending temperatures into the eighties in the valleys and upper
seventies in the higher terrain. While it will be mostly sunny,
some cirrus will move northward into the region off a nearly
stationary low well to our south.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 233 PM EDT Sunday...The prolonged period of dry weather
looks to continue as the region remains under surface high
pressure and upper level ridging. By mid- week, temperatures
will be above seasonal normals for mid-September, with daytime
highs climbing into the upper 70s to lower 80s. A weak cold
front looks to push across the region late Thursday into Friday,
ushering in some cooler temperatures. This front looks to be
deprived of moisture, so while there is a slight chance of
showers possible as it moves across, most locations will remain
dry and no meaningful precipitation is expected. Cooler weather
is expected for the weekend as surface high pressure centered
over Canada builds into the region, with high temperatures in
the 60s and low 70s this weekend and overnight lows in the 30s
and 40s with some potential for patchy frost across the region.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 00Z Tuesday...VFR conditions will continue to prevail
across all terminals throughout much of the forecast period. The
only exception to the VFR conditions will be any fog
development tonight, especially at KSLK and KMPV and potentially
KEFK after 06Z, with better chances compared to the previous
night. Fog should dissipate around 13Z or so, with VFR
conditions prevailing for the remainder of the TAF period. Winds
will generally be light and northwesterly, becoming light and
variable and/or calm overnight, with the exception of
southeasterly winds at KRUT.
Outlook...
Monday Night: VFR. Patchy BR.
Tuesday: VFR. Patchy BR.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Myskowski
NEAR TERM...Myskowski
SHORT TERM...Myskowski
LONG TERM...Kremer
AVIATION...Kremer/Neiles
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