309
FXUS61 KBTV 250651
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
251 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 251 AM EDT Friday...
No significant changes have been made to the forecast.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 251 AM EDT Friday...
1. Dry weather will continue throughout today, with rainfall
affecting portions of the area this weekend as a Nor`easter moves
along the coast.
2. Drier and warmer weather will start next week, with
additional shower chances towards mid week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
As of 251 AM EDT Friday...
KEY MESSAGE 1: High pressure will continue to remain across the region
today, bringing another day of tranquil weather after any early
morning fog dissipates. High temperatures this afternoon will warm
into the upper 60s to low 70s, with some increasing high clouds
expected as the day progresses ahead of the next approaching system,
limiting any fog or frost concerns for tonight.
A Nor`easter will continue to track along the coast, bringing heavy
rainfall and strong winds to portions of the mid-Atlantic and New
England. Our region will be on the periphery of the system, with the
greatest impacts expected outside of our area. The better chances
for precipitation will be further south, although there is still
some uncertainty as the to the overall extent of showers Saturday
into Sunday. In addition to the precipitation chances, a strong jet
associated with the system will bring gusty surface winds,
especially across the higher terrain and the western slopes.
Temperatures will be on the cooler side as well, especially Sunday
as clouds and periods of showers are expected, especially across
southern and eastern Vermont.
KEY MESSAGE 2: As the system slowly shifts eastward, shower chances
will linger into the start of next week, gradually diminishing
towards Tuesday. A frontal boundary looks to move through towards
mid-week, bringing some additional chances for showers to the
region, although there is still plenty of uncertainty at this time
with a wide spread amongst models towards that time frame.
Temperatures will be on the cooler side to start the week,
generally in the 60s areawide, gradually warming a few degrees
towards the middle of the week with highs in the upper 60s and lower
70s. Lingering showers and cloud cover will prevent overnight
temperatures from radiating out, with temperatures most
likely dropping into the 40s and 50s.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday...A mix of flight conditions looks to prevail
over the next several hours as fog and mist develop across the
region with high pressure overhead. KEFK and KMSS have already seen
bouts if IFR or lower conditions, but more widespread IFR or lower
is expected towards 09Z before dissipating after sunrise. Compared
to previous nights, the duration and areal coverage of the fog/mist
may be slightly less. Outside of any fog, VFR conditions are
expected to prevail through the forecast period, with increasing
high clouds streaming into the region later today. Winds will
generally remain light and variable overnight, trending more
northerly this afternoon although still remaining less than 10
knots.
Outlook...
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
WHAT HAS CHANGED...Kremer
DISCUSSION...Kremer
AVIATION...Kremer
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