885
FXUS61 KBTV 261733
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
133 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather will prevail into the start of next week.
Temperatures will start off near seasonal normals, but by early
next week temperatures will rise well above normal. The humidity
will also increase going into the start of next week. Shower
chances return for the middle of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 1244 PM EDT Friday...Some cumulus has developed over the
higher terrain but none of this has produced any showers. An
area of wildfire smoke has made it into northern areas and it
will pass south through the region today, but it is aloft so it
will have no meaningful impacts. It will cause the sky to look a
little hazy though. Previous discussion follows.
Previous discussion follows.


Overall quiet weather is expected today, tonight and Saturday.
Surface and upper level ridges will build over our area. A weak
surface trough this afternoon will skirt by northeastern
Vermont, so have mentioned slight chance of rain showers this
afternoon in that area. Otherwise no precipitation is expected.
Temperatures will be close to seasonal normals, highs will range
from the mid 70s to lower 80s. Skies will be mostly sunny today
with some afternoon cumulus development likely. Then following
sunset the skies will clear and winds will become light, leading
to possibility of some fog formation in the typical fog prone
spots. Minimum temperatures will drop into the 50s to lower 60s.
Temperatures will be a few degrees warmer by Saturday afternoon
with highs mainly in the lower 80s areawide with some mid 80s
in the warmer locations. Saturday will also be mostly sunny with
just some afternoon cumulus development anticipated.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 357 AM EDT Friday...A pleasant weekend is in store for
the region under upper level ridging and surface high pressure.
OVernight lows temperatures SAturday night look to be near
seasonal in the 50s and low 60s, but with radiational cooling
possible with clear skies, some cooler temperatures may be
possible. There is still a little uncertainty with Sunday as
several models continue to show a closed upper low developing
off the coast while another upper level trough approaches from
the west. Despite these features, dry weather is still
undissipated across the region given the drier airmass currently
in place. Daytime highs will be a few degrees warmer on Sunday
compared to Saturday, with temperatures warming into the 80s,
with some valley locations nearing 90. OVernight lows will
generally be in the 60s, with some mid 50s across the
Adirondacks.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 357 AM EDT Friday...Heading into the beginning of next
week, there is still a little uncertainty with the
aforementioned closed low and the approaching trough. The latest
trends continue to support dry weather prevailing through much
of the day Monday before the next chances of precipitation
return. PWAT values will continue to increase throughout the
week, marking a return of more humid conditions. Chances of
precipitation will continue through much of next week with
plenty of moisture. Temperatures next week with be warm, with
highs in the 80s to near 90 and mild overnight lows.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 18Z Saturday... VFR conditions will continue through
the evening at all terminals. Patchy fog will develop later in
the night and it should affect MPV and SLK, and possibly EFK.
The fog will lift soon after daybreak and VFR conditions will
continue for the rest of the day. There may be a brief shower at
EFK this afternoon but it will not have any meaningful impacts
on visibility. Winds will generally be northwesterly today,
become light and variable tonight, and go back to northwesterly
tomorrow. LLWS is not a concern.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Myskowski/Neiles
SHORT TERM...Kremer
LONG TERM...Kremer
AVIATION...Myskowski